Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.485058 0.534219 0.587043 0.648160 0.717090 0.792619 0.881900
2025-10-05 0.412232 0.481850 0.562226 0.662488 0.785045 0.931049 1.119752
2025-10-12 0.369352 0.449125 0.545772 0.672715 0.836885 1.044557 1.331201
2025-10-19 0.336422 0.421996 0.529710 0.677193 0.876938 1.142566 1.530291
2025-10-26 0.310360 0.399619 0.515663 0.680320 0.912459 1.235098 1.730305
2025-11-02 0.290306 0.382522 0.505904 0.686666 0.950978 1.333573 1.949080
2025-11-09 0.266568 0.358017 0.483329 0.671921 0.956358 1.382717 2.097335
2025-11-16 0.252647 0.345746 0.476362 0.678268 0.992416 1.480333 2.333430
2025-11-23 0.237181 0.329924 0.462748 0.672968 1.009237 1.548452 2.528242
2025-11-30 0.225960 0.319324 0.455742 0.676699 1.039950 1.641292 2.777338
2025-12-07 0.212618 0.304588 0.441313 0.667270 1.047768 1.695691 2.963198
2025-12-14 0.200822 0.291376 0.428201 0.658660 1.055708 1.750376 3.156138
2025-12-21 0.186062 0.272914 0.405984 0.633818 1.034207 1.751514 3.247193
2025-12-28 0.180884 0.269070 0.406638 0.647253 1.081244 1.883506 3.624679
2026-01-04 0.175397 0.264336 0.405431 0.657212 1.122665 2.009264 4.009578
2026-01-11 0.169240 0.258115 0.401297 0.661565 1.153843 2.118244 4.375643
2026-01-18 0.163309 0.251891 0.396700 0.664606 1.182581 2.225312 4.755685
2026-01-25 0.158364 0.246997 0.393999 0.670775 1.217825 2.349806 5.200043
2026-02-01 0.150287 0.236403 0.380822 0.656440 1.210586 2.382176 5.419410
2026-02-08 0.146128 0.232241 0.378614 0.662611 1.245705 2.511719 5.915513
2026-02-15 0.140460 0.225184 0.370845 0.657458 1.256577 2.587550 6.281464
2026-02-22 0.136488 0.220865 0.367717 0.661085 1.286391 2.710817 6.805371
2026-03-01 0.130897 0.213426 0.358497 0.651917 1.287417 2.765397 7.140374